In making the case for dialogue over war, the storied British Prime Minister Winston Churchill reputedly said that, “To jaw-jaw is always better than to war-war.” In its 57 years or so as an independent nation, Nigeria has mostly heeded that piece of wisdom. The only exception was during the political crisis of 1965 which led to a civil war. Even in that case, it is little known that the crisis was nearing a resolution when a military coup upturned everything.
Just before the coup, the New Nigerian — the mouthpiece of the
Northern People’s Congress —carried an editorial in which it called for an
annulment of the election that set off the bloodshed in Western Nigeria. The
election was ostensibly won by the NPC’s Western Region’s ally and the paper
had long vilified the rivals. No election is worth so much bloodshed, the paper
editorialised. In all likelihood, the about turn was intended to prepare the
ground for a parallel announcement by NPC leaders.
I recall this bit of history after reading the text of former president
General Ibrahim B. Babangida’s powerful speech calling for the devolution of
power as the way out of Nigeria’s heightening political tension. I tend to
think that the politically astute Babangida is not speaking for himself alone.
Even if he were, his is still a powerful voice.
“It is our collective responsibilities
to engender a reform that would be realistic and in sync with modern best
practices,”Babangida said in the pivotal passage in the speech. “For example,
restructuring has become a national appeal as we speak, whose time has come. I
will strongly advocate for devolution of powers to the extent that more
responsibilities be given to the states while the Federal Government is vested
with the responsibility to oversee our foreign policy, defence, and economy.”
That the Federal Government will have to oversee foreign policy and
defence in any restructuring is generally a given. The matter of oversight of
the economy is one that would require much parsing. After all, resource control
is the primary driving force behind the push for a return to true federalism.
In any case, while Babangida’s call for devolution of power necessarily
garners the most attention, his supporting arguments for a united Nigeria are
quite noteworthy. To begin with, he makes the case that despite claims to the
contrary, Nigeria has made considerable strides both in economic advancement
and the forging of a national identity since its founding in 1914.
“We cannot deny or repudiate our progress at nation-building in spite of
the limitations and challenges that we have continued to experience,” Babangida
said.
As a people, we need a proper study and understanding of our history in
order to correct the warped perceptions of our past so as to minimise the
dangers of badly skewed stories of our democratic experience in governance; and
to regenerate mutual confidence and uphold the tenets of living together as one
country.”
Here, Babangida alludes to the fact that perception matters regardless of
the reality, and the tenor of political rhetoric dictates perception.
“That we have not fully realised our potential as a great nation is not
enough reason for us to want to demolish the foundation of our nationhood or
rubbish the labours of our heroes past,”Babangida said.
In calling for restructuring, Babangida has aligned himself with the
demands of the Eastern Consultative Assembly after some Northern youths issued
an ultimatum to the Igbo to leave the North. Still, it is improbable that those
who are vested in the Biafra advocacy will rethink their stance. Dr. Olisa
Agbakoba, a former president of the Nigerian Bar Association and a major
supporter of the Biafra advocacy, has said as much.
“I see every politician now says restructure but I disagree,” Agbakoba is
quoting by The
PUNCH last Wednesday as saying. “I also think the acting
President (Yemi Osinbajo) was wrong to say that Nigeria is insoluble. There is
nothing sacrosanct about Nigeria. It can blow up anytime.”
Nnamdi Kanu, who has emerged as the most powerful Igbo leader, is also
unlikely to go with any arrangement that would preclude his ascendance as the
president of another Biafra. As the leader of the Indigenous People of Biafra,
he has presented himself as the person who will lead the Igbo to the proverbial
Promised Land.
As the proprietor of Radio Biafra in Britain, Kanu was
known for his virulent attacks not just on the Nigerian government but on
Nigeria itself. His arrest and prolonged incarceration by President Muhammadu
Buhari’s administration only raised his stature in the eye of many Igbo. Today,
some Igbo reportedly prostrate before him and he assumes the air of a
potentate, issuing directives accordingly.
What is remarkable about Kanu’s rise is what it says about the ease with
which messianic leaders emerge among people who feel disenfranchised. It is so
easy to rouse them to a cause with vague promises of a better life. Messianic
leaders inspire rabid following without being required to provide a systematic
and logical evidence of their stated or implied promises. And so it is quite
often that their promises turn out to be phantoms once they realise their
political ambitions.
When Babangida spoke of the need to unify Nigeria, he spoke from
hard-earned experience, both military and political. It is touching to read his
personalisation of the Nigerian course, the emotional and physiological scars
he still bears from the war.
Kanu, a post-civil war young man, might not be able to relate to
Babangida’s repeated reference to that dimension of his stance. But there are
quite a few Igbo leaders who can. The Igbo-dominated All Progressives Grand
Alliance has taken issue with Kanu’s manoeuvrings to disrupt the political
process through directives for election boycotts, calling him a “maximum
emperor.”
In response, IPOB has issued a scathing attack on APGA. “APGA is
motivated by personal greed and self-aggrandisement,” IPOB charges in a press
release. That’s quite ironic, because there are quite a few people who see Kanu
and other leading Biafra advocates as doing exactly that.
Chief Femi Fani-Kayode, a former Minister of Information and Culture, has
characterised Kanu as a man of peace. “The truth is that Nigeria should count
herself lucky that he (Kanu) is a pacifist who has not called for and neither
is he interested in an armed struggle, ”Fani-Kayode is quoted by The PUNCH on
Wednesday as saying.
If that’s the case, it is indeed a good thing for Nigeria. But pacifists
don’t usually engage in incendiary rhetoric. And incendiary rhetoric and
implacable advocacy can engender crisis that degenerate beyond anyone’s
control.
So Nigerians — especially the Igbo and other advocates of partitioning —
have a choice between Babangida’s plea and Kanu’s advocacy. The fate of the
country depends on it.
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